2019-01-15 PPS School Board Work Session
District | Portland Public Schools |
---|---|
Date | 2019-01-15 |
Time | missing |
Venue | missing |
Meeting Type | work |
Directors Present | missing |
Documents / Media
Notices/Agendas
REVISED Agenda 01-15-19 FINAL (8b85d7c80e85cefc).pdf REVISED Agenda
Materials
PSU Forecasts January 2019 with notes.pdf (50e5a0ca20b7d88c).pptx PSU Enrollment Projections and the Portland Plan
Portland 2035 PPSBoard 1.15.19 (321151ef10133a8e).pptx City of Portland Presentation
Grant Easements Staff Report NEW (e9adb856c8af1f9c).pdf Parks and Recreation Intergovernmental Agreement: Grant Parking Easement
Final PPS Values Offerings and Outcomes Report 010819 Version 5 (dc39520a2d7bcba9).pdf Summary of PPS Community Engagement Processes and Lessons Learned
Proposed PAT Resolutions (c018f80b75e5623a).pdf Proposed Portland Association of Teachers Resolutions
Final Calendar Packet (5aaea435edfb4276).pdf Draft 2019-20 School Calendar
Minutes
01-15-19 Informal Minutes (3b6c1c4b0ae1c69e).pdf Informal Minutes
Transcripts
Event 1: PPS Board of Education-Work Session, January 15, 2019
00h 00m 00s
okay the work session for January 15th
2019 is call to order first order of
business do we have any student comment
we do not okay okay
so we're going to move right into the
agenda items and the first item is a
discussion of two proposed resolutions
from the Portland Association of
teachers one regarding black lives
matter week of action and the other
support for increasing Oregon public
school funding
so I'm asking Suzanne Cohen and
Elizabeth teal of p80 to come up hi good
evening thank you for this time on your
agenda the the first resolution is
regarding a week of action for black
lives matter and so a little bit of the
context or the history of this a two
years ago our National Association the
NEA called for action around black lives
matter and so there's a movement called
black lives matter in education and and
that spawned Adan and the Assembly voted
that we would value this and and so then
in Portland members last year were
wondering you know what are we doing
around this and that was it came to us a
little bit late and we invited many
educators to come and discuss you know
what did they think should be done and
what would they like to see and from
that they really talked about building
out curriculum having you know diversity
age-appropriate lessons and discussing
other activities and and so a group of
educators was able to do that but then
really also knew that they wanted to
build up towards something with more
time for the following year in that time
span the Oregon Education Association
our state affiliate our assembly there
voted that we this was something that
we'd want to take on and so from there
the Portland Association of teachers
re-invited those educators asked more
educators to come and participate in
designing what a week of action would
look like so they are currently still
planning a series of events for this
week including curriculum as well as you
know I'm doing art camps and art builds
and other activities that they could do
to support this action and one of the
things that we would ask is that the
school board consider passing this
resolution at their next regularly
scheduled board meeting okay and the
week in question would be February 4th
to 8th right that is correct and it this
appears that it'll be an annual event
though the dates will change and we're
you know for this year we're you know
still kind of figuring out how to go but
we're definitely very open and
interested in and further partnership in
future years to figure out how to make
this a really valuable and meaningful
event for everyone any questions so I
guess one of the questions I would have
well two things I would think that we
want to do it just on a regular an
annual basis versus like we do most
other ones versus a sort of in
perpetuity
I was wondering see ya and we're very
open to editing and that's why it's here
in advance to working on it so it could
be passed at annually and this could
just be for this year would certainly be
so the things that you described sound
like something that would be a very
worthwhile activities for our students
to participate in I think I would want
to know if the district is in be
endorsing it with more specificity what
that is be and again just this is more
but not just a precedent-setting issue
that you're going to be endorsing
something especially in students are
involved say if a school
I did how we're gonna engage is we're
gonna have a walkout you know would we
endorse that so I guess I'd want to see
what the what what it is we're actually
endorsing that students participate in
but maybe less concerned well even my
teachers and administrators I'd want to
make sure that it's in service to our
educational mission so that I mean I
know we're not voting out tonight so we
00h 05m 00s
have an opportunity to maybe get more
definition around what that is well so
we did pass I think an American day
Hispanic and I don't think we've really
had discussions on you know what if
there was a walkout and all them so if
you have maybe something that we want to
have some guidance on and what you know
what parameters are when we are
supporting certain activities that are
for social justice so I think that's a
excellent point
I don't know that we said we were going
to endorse act actual activities versus
we're recognizing the week when we
recommend it I mean we said similar
things that we want teachers to provide
opportunities for calling out things in
the curriculum and and aren't music and
learning the history I guess the other
thing I would say is this unlike the
other ones were the other ones were
initiated by the district mhm
so I mean I'm assuming a certain level
of knowledge of the district went into
it or or their district general well so
this is I think this is the first time
that we've had at least in the last year
and a half a resolution that came from
an external party and I just think
I think to that I think to your point
too is that part of this endorsement is
that endorses and encourages teachers
and students to participate annually in
the black Weisman black lives matter
week of action in schools but we don't
have a lot of information here about
what those activities might be in our
district it presumes that there is going
to be a which is unlike the other ones
so which kind of brings me to something
that we were just discussing earlier
which is what is that Black Heritage
Month like this three months if if there
if we see fans kind of broadly um in
terms of Black History Month with you
know Hispanic hist chair Heritage Month
and then maybe here are some up some
optional activities within those so
maybe we're looking at a resolution
that's talking about Black History Month
recognize from both at the same time
yeah and this is maybe something that
would fall under Black History Month
well the other piece of that too is that
we are part of the Council of great city
schools males of color initiative and we
have we're getting more engaged in that
work which is some common activities for
different big school districts
are wanting to recognize the the
students the families the communities
that we're in I think it's good practice
that we recognize those times in the
year but I think more importantly how do
we make these educational in nature and
certainly if it's the direction of the
board we would want to make sure our
teaching and learning department and our
schools are afforded some direction and
some guidance around resources and a
great opportunity to collaborate with
our teachers and leaders around you know
here's some suggested lessons that are
developmentally appropriate that address
topics and objective ways that you know
offer those varying perspectives this is
a bit more specific to the black lives
movement versus a traditional Black
History Month per se so and I think
that's what I hear
everyone debating for sure we have
urgency around making sure our
underserved students which include our
students of color you know that we have
some deliberate strategies we're
implementing and it is a big point of
our conversations and something we want
to wrap up our own initiative here in
Portland like other urban districts are
doing so I'm very interested in sort of
which direction the board would like to
provide on this topic because I there's
I think there's a distinction there
perhaps around you know as far as what
our intent was originally we had a much
longer resolution that kind of we were
actually kind of hopeful that it would
be something that that PBS did and
housed curriculum and then and then we
thought well maybe that's a big ask for
the first year and so we would just you
know this is really be in support of
those who are ready and have those
developmentally appropriate and are
willing to do that we know that in some
buildings you know there may be more
members participating and more people
ready to do that work than than others
so we didn't really mean for this to be
00h 10m 00s
a mandate or you know you know by giving
individual educators just like they do
will will curate age-appropriate lessons
it was more speaking in support
solidarity of this happening and it
nationally but we are certainly open and
would love if there's if it can happen
this year to to have curriculum shares
or even places where our educators who
are creating stuff could could share
that with others or be more available I
know not I don't know how much you know
what can be accomplished in this
timeframe but that it's absolutely our
interest we actually kind of scaled that
back well I like wondering too cuz we
are talking you're talking about it's
like this is kind of a work in progress
as well so with you know we're talking
about walkouts and everything I mean we
can work with individual schools and
educators to I mean you know if it's an
assembly that wants to reflect this or
certain classes or so I mean there's
flexible this isn't asking I mean
there's flexibility with where it could
go within the school day right
absolutely for the for the educator for
the school and I don't I don't know why
walkouts I mean that would be that's not
something that we're organizing or
asking for I mean that's that would be
something else but but that's that's not
what this is about
yeah this is really about the language
yeah and tying it to the movement and
having a space where we can have these
conversations agree
through p80 is planning to do curriculum
shares and activities during this week
of action and we love to do it as
partners with the district and we'd love
to be able to tell teachers at the
district supports bringing this this
work about black lives into your
classroom on this weekend letting their
students participate knowing it's part
of a national movement to really look at
how our schools are supporting or could
be better supporting our black students
wondering just maybe a way to approach
again partly because it's not something
we generate him but I think this the
spirit of enhancing the district's
mission since we're not voting on it we
have about two weeks maybe I don't know
how much of a discussion there's been
between PA T and the superintendent and
staff about what those those are and the
level of engagement so maybe that
happens between the next two weeks and
there's a we've had a discussion about
what's happening and we think it
dovetails and aligns with I would just
want to manage expectations I think this
pasture it was great that we
acknowledged many communities of color
and we want to have a fulsome resource
and sharing going on and so if the board
is gonna take up action on this on its
next regular meeting the 29th and this
is proposing the week of February 4th I
think bringing attention to the matter
and encouraging and giving our teachers
sort of license an opportunity to to use
their professional judgment is the first
step to what would be sort of a more
year-long scope and sequence where we
could organize resources from a lot of
educational places that do curate these
lessons and I'll go back to my point
that I think for consistency it would be
helpful if we thought about it as you
know Black History Month and then
supporting that and then activities such
as this within that for this year and
then we absolutely our intent is to be
to have more to offer next year and more
support for teachers but I mean I think
that that would be a way of that this it
fits with even though it we didn't
necessarily start this resolution our
resolutions have been to support
communities of color months do we have a
resolution
the drop being drafted or proposed
relating to that well I was going to
suggest how about would a board member
be willing to take on the task of
coordinating with p80 and with the
superintendent and staff to to draft a
resolution that would I think it would
be similar to what we did for the other
history months so director Prem Edwards
director Esparza Brown will work with
p80 and coordinate with the
superintendent's office or his designee
or is it nice and I say the office and
and student representative hastler and
ask that you bring back a draft
resolution for board consideration next
00h 15m 00s
Thursday
not this coming Thursday following
Thursday okay so so we would have it
that would be nine days from now so we
would have it on it would be able to go
out with the rake of the board packet in
preparation for the meeting on the 29th
right okay but in any case be they have
something ready to go out in the packet
so that we can consider it at the
January 29th regular meeting equity
committee is meeting Wednesday and then
the the sub group that's been working on
the black lives week of action is
actually meeting this Thursday so if we
could start that for their committee
meeting that would be great tomorrow
Thursday
plenty of time yeah okay okay the next
proposed resolution is on public school
funding in Oregon that is right we are
proud of the school board's adopted
legislative agenda for this school year
and absolutely funding is a top priority
for us we realize repeatedly what a
disservice lack of proper educational
funding has been doing to our school
systems throughout this state and
definitely in this district this school
board resolution is something that I
that we're asking to again to be in
partnership with I think it matches up
pretty well with your legislative agenda
and it is something else that we'd like
to see the board consider to adopted
their next business meeting
we've other school districts in Oregon I
believe have already adopted this or are
on track to do a similar activity and
again we're very open to adding I mean I
was very long list one lack of funding
is doing in our schools and we're also
very open to working in partnership to
define what a good resolution would be
we never meant to dictate resolutions it
was always meant to be a conversation as
a partnership of wouldn't you know these
are things that we all agree on and
wouldn't it be nice so I think the same
kind of process makes sense and my
question is - director Brynn Edwards in
direct response or brown would you
people need to take this resolution on
as well Shh yes speaking for myself
speak for you although our adoption of
our legislative agenda is pretty clear
in this respect so I think this is gonna
be a tough one to draft well I think
I'll just say that one of the just when
I looked at it
initially and just wanted reference
Julie's comments also as well that you
know having some consistency in format
so this isn't generally our styles of
getting into our format I also think it
would be more effective if we're not
just talking about Oregon because we're
not like necessarily like everybody else
and I think it may be better to make it
more specific to our district and more
effective the other question I have for
board members is so we lay out a number
of things that could be funded and then
we just have the reason the resolved
that doesn't actually specify that we'd
be spending it on the things that we're
saying our areas were deficient so one
of the things that I'd be interested in
other board members if there's other
warehouses that they think we should
emphasize of things that aren't
happening and it could be pick pick the
areas where we have a deficiency of
resources so are these the ones that we
want to emphasize because I think almost
by calling them out
we then may need to be like and
therefore if we get more money this is
what we're gonna spend it on so that's
just I'd be interested in that at board
members so can I suggest that any board
members who have suggestions forward
them on to directors brimm Edwards and
Esparza Brown for consideration when you
when you all work together
00h 20m 00s
okay okay thank you very much thank you
thank you guys okay
next is the draft sorry okay so next
item is the draft 2019-20 school
calendar super Danny Carrera would you
like to yes I forgot to say good evening
directors as you know purport policy
superintendent is to bring forth for the
board's approval by May of each school
year a school calendar I think we all
agree that's probably a little late for
letting our families know what our
thoughts are last year we brought that
forth to you at the last week of
February and we're bringing forth to you
this evening a draft calendar because we
know we want to get input and feedback
from our stakeholders especially our
families so you have in front of you I
believe a draft proposed 1920 school
calendar and a memo from myself
that outlines some of the criteria and
constructing this recommendation you'll
find a familiar list of variables that I
think we tried to integrate and
incorporate with last year's calendar so
a lot of that criteria carries over but
I think just to highlight some of the
things that we heard were important and
that was to try to preserve five full
instructional days during the year to
minimize short weeks to you know gather
input from stakeholders around sort of
that Thanksgiving week make sure that
our semesters and our quarters are
balanced in their instructional time of
course that we observe our contractual
agreements etc you'll notice some of our
surrounding local districts
have have identified in some cases
different start dates some of them are
waiting for us to sort of publish but I
wanted to just let you know that this is
this is sort of our draft proposal if
you have any immediate sort of thought
on what's there happy to take note of
that but certainly forward to me any
additional feedback you may have the
intent is to quit all of our
stakeholders including PTA and school
leaders etc and bring it back to you for
action at our next regular meeting
January 29th I think the post labor day
start will be warmly received by our
families which is proposing the before
Labor Day Wednesday before Labor Day
what I was just looking at that case
start I think right a lot of families
will support the pre labor day they're
getting used to it but it's not not all
families are in summer vacation the
argument is like wait till after the way
you know people want to leave town for
Labor Day and that's a luxury that not
all of our families well have well we
did hear a pretty strong preference from
board last year that we move towards
brief before Labor Day so we've honored
that here I will say certainly in our
initial conversations and with dat
leadership one thing that we've been a
little bit sort of could go either way
on is whether a Monday August 26th star
or the Wednesday star makes more sense
knowing we would have to make it up at
the end I guess that's like the one
question I have because when we started
all the school years start on different
time dates sometimes but I guess the two
days later on the Wednesday start is
that for some specific reason or just
how the day's work that's what we want
to hear is their preference okay you
know do we want to start with a full
week the first week others are saying
let's these ease into it
on this question we're a little more
agnostic I will say from on staffs
behalf one preference is to it gives us
two more days to engage in professional
development activity that we confront
load and support our educators and
leaders with before students show up so
what's the first day back for teachers
it's the 22nd yeah that is correct so
we'd have the 22nd and 23rd our
district-wide professional development
days for those in building to be
determined but we have sort of a lot of
language and our contract around how
those days will get orchestrated hey I'm
sorry if we were gonna start if we were
00h 25m 00s
gonna have that that week of the 26th be
all all school which i think is what we
did last week you'd basically move
correct the people would be coming back
on the 20th that's right from our
teachers well we're working with our
labor partners to gather you know
sentiment in that regard
I'm sure there's pros and cons to either
it's already a pretty early end to the
year but if you're a district that goes
to June 20th it's it's a bummer there's
the one you never known for snow makeup
days - I mean that could always know
with the snow makeup days so that we
have the designated makeup days and then
possible makeup days so those are if
we've already used the other ones then
you go to those I think we have language
if you recall and our contractual
agreement that if there's an indication
we'll need a makeup day that we try to
capture that Presidents Day Monday so
that we don't have to tack it on to the
end as an option it's a little
problematic
it says now the announced by January
18th and it's the same caveat we have
after I think tomorrow or coming up days
there's not a snowstorm then people can
count on that three okay good I'm gonna
inter interrupt here and I'm just gonna
caution everyone against making any
predictions one of the issues with the
earlier opening is that some of many
probably of our classrooms are
incredibly hot yeah I'm comfortable sand
that's that that affects teaching that
affects learning there's that and you
don't know I don't know if the month of
June traditionally is a little cooler
aside from professional development
activity I am very sensitive to the fact
that we need ample time to make sure our
buildings are ready and clean and it's
pretty aggressive activity all summer
long especially when we have some
swinging you know situations going on
which will have less of this summer so
there should be a better situation with
programs not moving around quite as much
the other question that I think it came
up last year and it's a year ago I can't
remember it was answered or not the
assertion that ap scores it made a
substantial difference in AP scores to
start earlier I mean that's it's one of
this sighted things here is is there any
basis for that we'd have to look at some
trend data and to see if there's a
correlation there so that this is one of
those we do things because somebody says
it's so with yeah it was an assertion
I'll just cuz I know that there was a
group of parent high school parents
involved in this that wasn't the
assertion that in
the scores but that it provides an
opportunity for more instruction to
occur before those tests which we don't
have any control over when they happen
so I don't think that the assertion was
that there's some sort of set
correlation rather what I heard from
some high school teachers is they're
just packing the curriculum in before
the spring tests and then I know what
happened I know what happens I had a
student an Ivy student is like after
they take the test there's not a lot of
instruction happening because they
needed to get it I mean they'd have
their test which is sort of the
summative expert yeah so once it's done
it's done so instruction they're getting
in June or in late May is for most
students who are in IB and then ap to
the extent as well you look at quote
senioritis and that's again why why are
we moving a couple of days back for the
whole district for a subset that's and
the material impact is zero as far as I
can tell well you'll notice my memo
didn't list because of state tests as a
criteria for you know starting a little
bit earlier I like to think our teachers
are teaching every day they have
00h 30m 00s
students in front of them but again this
is sort of this is where there's a
little bit of leeway if the board or
stakeholders feel strongly one way or
the other this is where there's some
room to to think about those days
as a teacher I just want to put out that
having three days at the last week of
August and then a Monday holiday I mean
that seems like you wouldn't get a whole
lot constructively done at that time so
wondering if please since we are early
that maybe it would be best to begin
that week on the Monday to have a full
instructional week before a day off it's
a way I would look at it see if there
like one or the other you just start
after the Labor Day or do a whole week
yeah that's what I was making more sense
that's what I was battling with a little
bit of a few minutes ago because it's I
agree with the whole getting more in in
the first week but then it's that
argument of like your first week back to
school it's an entire week that's a lot
for student yeah so I I'm struggling
because it's like I go back and forth on
that too because I have got I mean I do
get a lot of that for my push but I got
I mean some students too it's like I
mean some students look at it like well
why are we coming just for three days
you know what I mean like it's but the
converse is true too I mean kids and
teachers appreciate that because it's
just the opportunity to get into
routines and to set expectations and
then okay guys you're you're not you're
out of practice a little bit so you're
gonna get a little break and then choice
we're gonna get down to business next
week even more so have a question about
the snow days so this isn't a prediction
it's just a statement about the past so
right there's no normally I'm I'm more
to the Admiral because I think this is
very much built to the normal so it
basically has four days for snow days
which may be for Portland's a little bit
above normal but if you have a abnormal
my Andrus I thought what we agreed we
still have to meet the 990 so if if we
had more than four days that we needed
to make up in theory we might need to
indicate that the 11th 12th and 15
instead of worst-case scenario if that's
what got us to the 990 I'm just
concerned because what what happens is
somehow families look at this calendar
they see the very last potential day
whatever it is and a lot of people make
plans and so if they're you know when
this little arrow and the small box that
says last day of school on the fifth I'm
afraid people might start going
somewhere this is a six so that somehow
we just don't then get in the position
that people are like you told us the
calendar said X and yet we haven't still
met the instructional minimal hours for
the state yeah well as you know this was
a topic in our bargaining sessions about
how to make sure we both comply with
required student time and sort of
recognize it would be a conversation -
we would find another place where we
kind of build that in or the running
assumption is we would have to go longer
and if that happens early enough in the
calendar year we would need to message
that to everybody so they can plan
accordingly what I'm hearing you say is
by visually putting it on here it might
signal to people just recognize that if
there is storms we will have to perhaps
take that Thursday Friday as well I
agree that if we don't indicate the
possibility in some way people get
hoppin mad
I'm responsible for the weather too I
had just one more thing I think for the
good of the order just as a student I
like how I mean this might be compared
with other years but I like how we've
cleaned up November I know that this
year that was a lot better for students
because we had a lot less for day weeks
or three weeks which means at least for
high school we had more flex days to go
in and meet with teachers and this gets
because our semester carries over to
January that allows more time before we
leave for the winter great to get work
done and all that so I think this is
coming from me I think this is a good
foundation for just November going
forward just clean it up more you know
more longer weeks and everything so yeah
so there was was PBS off this year with
00h 35m 00s
the winter break
compared to other districts I mean we
had one constituent who wrote us they
had a student in Beaverton and in
Portland but they were different so I'm
just waiting if there's something cuz
that does seem to be just whether it's
child care or I mean a whole host of
activities if there's some sort of
consistency Thanksgiving this year
we were out yeah so and I think it but
then we weren't out on the 14 but it
through a lot of things off I think yeah
this seems like this would be pretty
conventional yeah I think the the way
the holidays fall in the Cal
year I didn't crosswalk to local
districts our winter break I have
Beaverton's in front of me which lines
up exactly to the proposed calendar as
well as PS use calendar one also because
because of the way that it fell we had
not just two full school weeks but then
the additional two days for New Year's
so it ended up being yeah well i'm it
was our decision to end on the i think
it was the 14th instead of the 21st
captured well staff is continuing to
continue working on in collaboration
with our partners this speaks to the
student days we want to try to serve
have this document serve a little bit
more as a master calendar for our
employee groups so for example we have
30 designated tuesdays per contract when
staff meetings are to occur so we want
to indicate those on here so our
teachers know when they'll be staying
after school and similarly for our
principals when they're expected back
what days our leadership institute will
take place at cetera so you can expect
to see a little more detail in the final
version okay okay great feedback great
discussion it's the one similar to what
we've been having internally and with
stakeholders so let us know and you'll
see it again in three weeks okay thank
you alright so we're gonna move on to
the psu enrollment projections and the
Portland plan
welcome thank you trying to introduce
yourselves and and what your jobs are
and why you're here and then you can
then you can launch into great can I can
I give it a little intro I'm very
excited about this presentation so I'm
really fortunate so thank you I'm
Charles Ryerson about 30 or even school
districts yes and I've got a powerpoint
presentation here and I'm Jose ender I'm
the chief planner with the city of
Portland Bureau of planning and
sustainability so you have the annual
and sort of the near term forecast here
in our forecasts and plans that I'm here
to talk about tonight go out to 2035 so
it's more of a long-range look at the
number of households in the housing and
how it might be distributed across the
city okay
can somebody help figure out how to
so as I mentioned we've been doing these
forecasts annually we actually have a
history of going all the way back to the
1970s working with poor public schools
we've done enrollment projections in the
70s the 80s and this is the 20th
consecutive year that we've done
long-range enrollment projections
schools we typically do a low middle and
high scenario at the district level and
00h 40m 00s
then the middle scenario is broken out
into forecast for individual schools by
also forecasts of the number of
residents by high school plus were
attending any PPS school number of
residents by attendance area attending
any PPS school so all of those are
available on in our annual reports the
in December of last December we deliver
that one year forecast that C used in
part partly for teacher allocation and
then later in March will deliver the 15
year long-range forecast so when I I
like to evaluate our past forecasts and
the first thing I usually look at is the
k12 total I like to see it stay within
one percent of actual enrollment and I
like to see the middle series be the the
most reliable compared with the high and
low and going back to the the year that
enrollment started to rebound 2009 I'm
gonna show quickly run through a series
of of our low middle and high range
forecasts the the middle range being
that that line with red line and in the
forecast that we did during the Oh nine
ten school year the the middle forecast
is still the most active
it following year all of these forecasts
the middle is within 1% of of the actual
enrollment which is the black lines with
the squares
likewise 2011 school year middle
forecast is still most reliable then the
after 2015 the growth trajectory started
to slow a bit so the forecast that we
did during the 2013-14 school year
actually the current year's enrollment
which is the last square there on the
right has fallen below the low forecast
and likewise 2015 base year so you can
see where we've adjusted our expectation
and again this is just total k12 this is
last year's forecast it is with actual
enrollment was within one percent of the
middle series however it's also below
the low series so we've got a
preliminary look at a long-range
forecast you finalize it in March and
again we're showing growth but at a
lower pace than what we had been so
excuse me one thing I'd like to request
is that I like for these documents to be
available to the general public but I
think we need some context for document
when I look at these documents there's
no sort of definitional or what what
we're seeing so I appreciate the oral
commentary but to have these documents
meaning anything to anybody who is not
the meeting
I think would be helpful that we have
the commentary this is to your point
director Bailey of having some narrative
that describes what it is version we're
saying we usually get a pretty thick
annual report when the forecast is
finalized that does just that goes goes
through passage rate forecast and this
this presentation has speaker notes on
every slide and in fact some of them
refer to past annual reports and and
again this later this year there'll be a
an annual report corresponding to the
newest forecast
I guess maybe it'd be useful had the
speaker not be available again because
if you're not watching it if you get
this doesn't mean anything and I
appreciate we'll be getting another
report but I just think if we're gonna
be using this as a base of discussion
that would be helpful to the broader
public to be able to talk about what
this means so that'd be great
yeah in fact that's why I'd rather than
animating where I just ran through each
one's a separate slide so if somebody
wants to print a PDF of it with the
notes pages you know the next line there
you could layer them on top of each
other but then you can't do that so so
do you have a sense of why you were low
what what assumptions didn't hold well
we're gonna see a little more of that so
00h 45m 00s
that this these are the preliminary
these charts appear in the in the annual
report every year and we can see a new
high middle and low the low being pretty
flat in chart to really you know the
it's the entry grades that really matter
and this year is the sixth consecutive
year of a declining kindergarten
enrollment
and we'll look even closer at that in a
couple of slides so Elementary
enrollment peaked in two years ago and
it started to decline so we know a lot
more about births now than we did a few
years ago and amazing decline in number
of births in the US the nation and
particularly Multnomah County the number
of babies born to women residing in
Multnomah County in in 2017 was the
lowest since 1978 when there were
one-third fewer residents of the county
what was the rate the reason what was
the rate or the rate oh yeah total
fertility rate 1.25 for the county and
even a bit lower for public schools so
but on the other hand a chart for shows
that high school enrollment will
continue to grow under all three
scenarios low middle and high because of
that momentum from we had six years of
of kindergarten growth prior to 2012
so that's pushing on through to the
upper grades so you know we can't know
definitively why people are doing
whatever they're doing or not doing but
it's curious to me that the the
kindergarten enrollment went up during
the recession mmm-hmm that's
counterintuitive I would have expected
the opposite well I've got a couple of
slides on that but no this is just
quickly bullet points describing how we
do the forecast one of the things I
wanted to point out is well we
we have birth data we look at
residential development especially
affordable housing and we look at the
capacity and and the allocation of
growth from the Portland plan we also
collaborate closely with district staff
you know they let us know what's going
on in terms of changes boundary changes
of course and even more detail number of
lottery slots etc so that's important
however we can't really anticipate
things like suddenly a school gets more
popular you know so we've got things
built in like the capture rate of
neighborhood children you know we we
don't want to be too necessarily
optimistic that things are going to
improve if they're low so they're
generally status quo so that can that
can really make things change at the
individual school level
there's our kindergarten trend the
bottom line the solid line and it does
track pretty well with the birth trend
these are births lagged by five years so
that peak there that occurred in in fall
of 2012 with the biggest kindergarten of
over 4,200 students that actually aligns
with the peak births of 2006 7 which was
you know before the recession so birth
started falling during the recession
most people in my profession asserted
that well it's it's due to the economy
however they've continued even after the
economy got better there's other
long-term reasons for births to fall so
we've seen we've measured births through
2017 probably a little optimistic about
that rebound there on the on the top
line so that may change before March but
we're looking at a few more years of
flat or declining
so I I was looking at this chart and
what are your assumptions that make you
think it's there's gonna be a rebound
population growth you know the the
you're gonna hear about how much
potential the city has to to add more
housing and you know a lot of it is
00h 50m 00s
maybe not maybe most of it's not the
kind of housing that family is gonna
live in bed right some of it is and and
there is you know continued migration
into into the city and so we're
especially with the affordable housing
coming online you know with bigger units
we're measuring that and we're seeing
you know probably a change from what
we've seen the last several years when
almost everything I got built was market
rate studios and one bedrooms so so
looking at it another way this is a
ratio of kindergarten enrollment to
births and really hard to explain it did
as kindergarten enrollment was was going
up the ratio kindergarten enrollment
went up faster than corresponding births
that's the point of the the left side of
the chart and it was pretty stable for
all the way up until full day
kindergarten was implemented in 2015 so
that's that's where we thought we were
in terms of migration between you know
birth and age five in the last three
years we've had this decline which you
know that that part is hard to explain
just maybe people people being able to
move up into bigger housing outside the
district hard to know so so that decline
in the last year doesn't correlate with
a commensurate did climb in commensurate
decline in births however many years
prior right so I said where that line is
moving up you know kindergarten
enrollment outpaced what we'd expect
based on births where that line is going
down the last three years kindergarten
enrollment has has gone down and just
more than the corresponding births hmm
how has catchment rate what are what are
the trends in the catchment rate I mean
does that indicate that people are
staying in town they're just not sending
their kids to be yes or I'm moving out
well it's it's probably so we've always
got some out net outflow between birth
and age five know this you know those
ratios even at their highest swear point
seven five so we think catchment rates
between point eight oh and point eight
two so that means a few more people
there's lots of churn in in young
families you know moving so a few more
people moving out than in within you
know given the district's boundaries
being including the central city
neighborhoods so so yeah it's it's a
combination but we you know there's no
evidence that there's a big increase in
private school enrollment so it probably
is mostly due to mobility rather than
didn't capture
so here's another more evidence of more
people moving out than in
this I like to look at elementary grades
because people probably aren't making
decisions between grade 2 and 5 about
whether to you know enter or exit the
public school system you know it's
probably a balance of choice and and if
there is a you know where the number
differs from one the ratio of this
year's enrollment to last year's
enrollment that probably is all about
mobility migration so in the years where
there was you know growth the ratio was
up to 0.99 and and we've had a couple of
years where it's been close to 0.98 the
forecast is is on the right expecting
you know more long term but not you know
we're not expecting to go beyond what
we've seen in the past entering middle
school on the other hand you know this
has really been lower the last few years
so this is a combination of mobility
maybe similar to the elementary grades
plus choice you know it does appear that
that there you know would doubt that
were the city the the district is losing
5% of its residents
you know between age 12 and 13 or 11 and
12 whatever it is you know it probably
is some loss to other options so we're
not we're here we are with the long-term
forecast that's not a whole lot more
robust than than recent history I'm
sorry can you just repeat what the
assessment was on the middle school he
said it wasn't likely that we've just
lost 5% of the population between that
age bracket so there's so they're
choosing something besides like likely
00h 55m 00s
choosing something
our middle grades sir yes exactly so
somehow you know you compare this year's
enrollment this year's sixth-grade
enrollment everybody going to PPS
schools 6% lower than last year's
fifth-grade enrollment but here's here's
the good news for a return to high
school long long ago the the progression
rate from eighth grade to ninth grade
was was much higher like you know 12
percent higher than 8th grade back in a
lot of people would go through eighth
grade in private schools and come to
public school at PPS about ten years ago
that rate fell below one and it's been
you know very low in in 2014 16 17 but
this current year and you had highest
ratio ninth grade eighth grade since
2009 so this appears to be rebounding
people are you'd be happy with the
rebuilt schools and eager to go there so
what's the number of that jump number
not the number of students oh well if
there are 4,000 students per grade level
a 1 1 % of that would be 40 so if it's 3
percent 4 percent higher than it had
been you know that could be another 160
students or so so choosing to go to
Portland High School's yeah so we got
150 student jump for Franklin and
another 150 jump and for Roosevelt when
they opened
and my alma mater Grant High School I
look for some increased Nicks next year
so this was in the report a couple years
ago people always want to know about you
know how many kids live in certain types
of housing they drive down the street
and they see apartment buildings going
up they assume that there's gonna be a
lot of kids but we've kind of hard to
read that this scale started about that
but basically the majority of PBS
students live in single-family homes
that's what that chart eleven in the
lower right shows and majority of those
are living in homes that are more than
thirty years old no surprise however
that the student number of students per
home is highest in the newest homes and
that's what chart ten is showing the
affordable apartments that includes all
kinds of affordable apartments so it
doesn't tell the whole story but the
next slide
which I believe is my last one this is
drills down a little deeper this is from
the report that we issued in 2017 I
wanted to show the extreme because I'm
always getting this question well if
there's gonna be a hundred housing units
how many kids are they gonna be sorry I
can't tell you you know you got to tell
me more about are these gonna be large
units are there gonna be affordable are
they gonna have amenities like
playgrounds are they gonna be close to
schools so this is the extreme studio
and one-bedroom market rate departments
one student per hundred units where as
income restricted large units two three
four bedroom units and these are actual
measurements from actual developments
and it ranges widely from
one student per hundred units two more
than 100 students per hundred units and
that's forecaster that's based on what
we've seen from like development yeah
that's we met this is measured from
student points and tax lot and
multi-family information lining them up
and comparing them and this is this is
why you know if this is why we look
closely at affordable housing and in
that scene that's in the report every
year too we try to do an inventory of
how many units are they going to be in
two plus bedroom affordable developments
so hope left I'm for injured thank you
01h 00m 00s
and I think it's the right moment to
acknowledge that you have been rather
remarkably on the money in the last few
years
thank you what's next
okay there I brought some slides as well
but so Roseanne can you work your magic
Roseanne's working a magic well and
watch the other good sorry oh hey so oh
there you go there you go okay so this
is terribly interesting every time we
have this comparison and what's
interesting for me too is to reflect
back on in the past during the Portland
plan days especially and that's like
2010 2012 we worked very closely with
PBS because that was the heart of what
that plan was about
part and since then we periodically
cross paths in terms of these population
forecasts what I'm about to show you is
done a different way but tells the
similar stories just that it's we don't
have the the breakdown of births and the
specific information that's more
relevant to what the schools are going
through if you're trying to design
schools for program in for attendance
but the big picture is that by hundred
by 2035 which is the most recent
comprehensive plan that we've completed
and we just completed it last year
you've got several hundred thousand more
people moving to the in Portland both
increase of population here and in
migration driving that for the purposes
of the planning that we do we really
more often look at households because
part of what we're doing is trying to
figure out how the market and our
programs are going to provide housing to
meet this expected growth forecast this
growth forecast starts by metro
government forecasting it for the entire
region its Anaconda metric model so it's
driven by really the jobs part of the
forecast first and then how much each of
the different jurisdictions in the
region can reasonably expect to attract
in terms of that share of how of new
households so we typically get 30 plus
percent and have been over performing on
what's expected the city to produce or
attract over the coming years so by 2035
it's 123 thousand more households that's
30 plus percent growth for the city as a
whole and where is it going to go the
plan that we prepared just adopted by
City Council is forecasting that it's
going in these areas that we're calling
these centers of three different sort of
scales the Central City and Gateway
those are the two big ones town centers
which are more like Hollywood
is the in lense are two big well-known
examples of this tend to be bigger more
more units per acre they're part of the
regional system they're served by
transit big transit and then these
orange ones the smaller ones are the you
you know very well if you live in the
city are these what we're calling
neighborhood scale centers that are very
much emergent over the last decade and
more the concentration of where folks
are moving so I in our plan fifty
percent of the growth that we expect
between now and 2035 is being attracted
to the town center and the smaller
centers thirty percent in the central
city which is doubling the number of
units in the Central City and we're
really on P we're on pace so far to see
all of this honestly although we're
heading into a business cycle and then
twenty percent is in the the rest of the
areas that are at a Center a quarter so
geographically that's the scheme that
seems to be operative and just I wanted
to make the point of you know when you
think of neighborhoods in Portland we
have 94 different named geographic
neighborhoods but really their market
areas the neighborhood share centers
neighborhood share a set of schools
there's usually a few schools in each of
these areas a commercial district or a
couple of commercial districts and
transit lines and it takes the total
population and buying power that's
contained in really not 94 but 24 of
these market areas to support the
development that we see take place in
01h 05m 00s
them and so it gave us a better sort of
scale to work from the 94 is closer to
the old days when the neighborhoods were
defined by what schools were in their
area this groups them together more
gives us an economic basis because part
of what we want to do in this plan is to
use that forecast growth that's being
attracted to
or in the investment that it's going to
take to be able to house that growth in
the city to help improve different parts
of town in very specific ways to
increase their walkability to increase
their access to goods and services to
increase their access to amenities parks
and schools to increase the supply of
affordable housing that's in the higher
opportunity areas that investment that's
coming to meet this housing demand is
part of what builds is the the largest
part of what builds our city so
questions like these
20 20 or 24 you know regions are they
recognized by anybody else other than
just as a planning tool you know they
were invented as a planning tool so
they're mostly planning okay I just
director yeah we did them but across the
city now in terms of a lot of the
service planning and infrastructure
planning we're using this collection of
of market areas of because we can link
growth in dollars and service and it
corresponds to transit trips and the
like think of it it's like a market shed
and they roughly correspond to where the
neighborhood coalitions are so
politically there's some alliances as
well yeah and in the big the big trick
is that in the old days if it was in
this neighborhood in that neighborhood
who got to call the shot as to what
happens that would be a lot of were
debate was here it's five neighborhoods
per Market area so you all have a
collective interest in what happens on
Hawthorne you have a collective interest
and what happens and so this is just
another representation of how this
growth in households could play out
across the city so here here is today
yellow is greater concentration
of households and you can see that when
it actually plays out it looks like that
centers and corridors diagram that we
were talking about the part of this as I
was listening to what Charles was saying
the part of this that's really stymieing
this expectation of how the development
is going to take place is the economics
of the housing market
which I'll go into a minute and that may
be part of what we're seeing play out in
terms of who and what size households
and how many houses can afford to live
in different parts of town but these are
the parts of town where we believe
there's the greatest demand we're going
to see that the most amount of that in
capacity place where you can build the
units and we'll see these units arising
and that what size household piece is
interesting if you could as you're going
along speculate on how your sub
positions might be different if we get
legislative action that allows for
multi-family housing in every corner in
every community oh yeah I've got that
coming that's a that's that's the other
part of this it was occurring to me as
well okay so that's and then here's this
is just another representation of how
it's going to be distributed so these
are our coalition's that you're all are
probably your neighborhood coalition's
probably you're aware of there's seven
of them and when we look at where the
growth is in this particular forecast
you know you're seeing a lot of it in
southeast that's at what southeast
uplift and East Portland and MPNs that's
North Portland we're in the process now
of planning a major new max line in
southwest but that's really those units
we would see that change we'll see
outside this 2035 timeframe and this is
an interesting part of the story that's
always been hard to get a handle on visa
V school we're doubling the number of
residential units in the Central City
and especially now that we have
inclusionary housing we're
proportionately increasing the number of
affordable housing units in the central
city so if it goes with what Charles is
saying about that being a family unit
very often that could dramatically or
substantively change the demand or the
presence of school-age children in the
Central City and there's lots of
different parts of the central city
where we're likely between now 2035 to
see those happen but really the
concentration so far has been in the
north part of the pearl we're seeing a
big pop and expected growth in the Lloyd
district and there's still a great deal
of South waterfront to develop and then
the whole Goose Hollow there's lots of
01h 10m 00s
the parts of the Central City with
housing capacity okay so in terms of the
types of units this forecast and this
growth projection goes with increasing
the number of multifamily units in no
small part that's because of price and
that's because of the land we have so
much of our land is tied up in
single-family zoning today that the
place where we actually have the ability
to provide units and the market will
build them if the demand and the rents
are there is in our multifamily Multi
multi family in mixed-use corridor areas
where I was talk about something at the
end that could change that it will
totally overthrow that model but
increasingly it's going to be mixed-use
or multifamily housing and Portland is
somewhat new to the experience of the
family families and multi-family housing
across the economic spectrum and that's
a coming thing that we're going to see
more and more of or this population
forecast is going to manifest totally
differently like to a certain extent
that has to happen we've seen it in
other West Coast cities that have been
at this type of development that include
families longer so we can't just assume
it's always studios and then based on
this forecast this is once again just
mining the metro data that we see a
lower percentage
households with children by 2035 but
more household so I threw this in and I
realize I don't know what the forecast
was telling us about the number of
children by 2035 which is more than 27%
of 639 households just one hundred a
hundred and twenty three thousand more
households 19% of it'll be three hundred
and fifty thousand households and what
is it now right well it was eighty
percent in the 2010 census I believe and
so in what you're gonna see next is I
just want to do this quickly you know
because I think I'd rather be answering
or having discussion a big part of
what's going to shape this is and where
these households with children land and
where the lower income household lands
is driven by the housing supply in the
cost analysis we have new residences the
gray the new housing units is the darker
color bar this has been our story for a
while where we're growing faster than
we're producing units and that's driving
up demand and up until recently that's
been dramatic changes in rents it
started to stabilize in terms of the
growth of that rent but there's a long
story here but a part of our trick is
tricking the market to overbilled is is
to say glibly but we need to wheat we
traditionally are conservative market
that doesn't over build in terms of more
housing than the number of residents and
so we have this constant price pressure
but you're guns you're starting to see
if moderate here's the vacancy rate goes
down and rents are starting to flatten
however when you leg to that for one
second so sure to see it flattened win
cuz not not yes well now it's compared
to the rate
it's just yeah it's these things are and
Brent going back down well that's not
typically what you're going to see in
this situation but it's the rate of rate
of increase rate of increases wasn't it
can I just point out 1,400 bucks a month
it's not a family-friendly rent a lot of
people well for a lot of people yes yeah
and well yeah and actually that's I
didn't include all the affordability
information but increasingly as Portland
is growing in its population
distribution just like the nation was at
either end of the income spectrum a lot
of that growth 123,000 households are
going to expect to see in the forecast
is a lower income household but if
something does it moderate in this or in
a production of housing supply that's
really can't happen because you're not
gonna be able to afford to be that
household in the city or you're gonna
double up or you're gonna live in
substandard housing all these different
tactics to make ends meet if it's
another just sort of graphic
representation of the rate and style
01h 15m 00s
this is single-family home sales blue is
affordable to 100% medium family income
and that was 2000 2001 you start to see
a change and oh it's a time series I
didn't realize that by the end well no
by 2017 there's hardly any blue left and
most of its not important in public
school district it's only the river and
these are single-family houses so that
that part's coming next and this is a
piece of analysis that we do this is a
piece of analysis that we do around the
question of gentrification and
displacement but mostly it's looking at
as we go through these market rate to
market changes where our should we be
paying attention to it having a
disportionateately large
income households with housing
vulnerability where a rent increase
doesn't just mean you move it means you
could be out of housing and so this and
we do this by comparing these two layers
economic vulnerability which measures a
number of different factors including
income and race and education level to
show different parts of town where you
have higher concentration of households
that have hot more of a vulnerability
factors so the darker the color means
the motor housing housing vulnerable a
household is and we compare that with
how the real estate market and in the
land the housing value the housing costs
and rents in those areas have been
changing and you can see that areas that
aren't colored in are already
unaffordable and have been for a long
time and as you've radiated up to the
orange and the yellow these are places
where up until this last year when we
did this you weren't seeing the price
pressure there you clearly are now so
the price pressure on households goes to
the full extent of the city is
concentrated at least which used to be
an area that was a receiving area for
lower-income households so part of our
tactic is to increase the supply of
housing to these you know and getting
the most housing that we can out of the
land that we have and to do this all
within a construct where it works with
the ability of our different systems
transit in schools and parts to
accommodate that but it's trying to
bring back the full range of housing
types not just single-family houses and
apartment blocks but that sort of scale
of smaller of duplexes triplexes smaller
apartment blocks garden apartments and
up to your Central City kind of
buildings that we actually have seen in
the historic development of the city but
our zoning now has long since kind of
been a barrier tube so we're working on
increasing that in those single-family
neighborhoods as well and so yeah
make one point you're you're the perfect
person to be having this conversation
with and I appreciate the opportunity
very much and you're talking about your
your going into the planning for the
future part in terms of where are we
gonna try to build all of this housing
and how do we make it work with other
systems including schools so presumably
you're looking at the capacity of the
our school infrastructure that we
already have but one other thing that I
wonder if you all consider in these
assessments is looking at what we know
to be the impact on educational outcomes
of forced mobility and how do you how do
we have a concentrated strategy on
building housing specifically to address
students being able to stay in their
same schools so that as a factor yeah
and actually that's been a topic of
discussion the cost of housing is of
course driven by a supply and demand
kind of situation and so when I said
earlier that we need to trick the market
or just find a way to incentivize the
market to build housing even though it
may not make economic sense you're going
to drive vacancy rates down for a while
rents may stabilize you're not earning
that sort of increasing return you can
if we don't over build we're always
going to be lagging behind the needed
household that the housing that we need
to accommodate our growth or that growth
will stop but then if that does happen
we run a real risk I believe of becoming
even more sort of income separated where
lower-income households can't even
afford to be in the city so if you're in
the city you have more resources and
01h 20m 00s
that changes not just if it absolutely
affects the the student mobility you're
talking about
but it does it also at a sort of a big
regional scale we're moving whole groups
of population due to economic pressure
that way
so the tricks of the trick the the
strategy that's built in here is to find
ways acceptable to Portland that work
with the kind of city that we're trying
to succeed that increases the range of
types of units and the number of units
across the city to the extent maximum
extent we can the market will build it
we can't over build our systems that we
absorb the externalities of that however
if we keep the two in pace that helps
with the overall housing pressure and
then if we're providing affordable
housing it has to be program housing we
have to dedicate resources which we have
as a city between the city's housing
bond and the new regional housing bond
and like this is a city that's stepping
up to providing affordable housing but
that's the housing that really creates
stability and we're trying to locate
that housing in neighborhoods where a
lot of the amenities that just support
the success of a household that lives
there in that schools actually in parks
and that sort of thing put housing in
those neighborhoods to rather than just
put them on places where we already have
a stressed-out system and inadequate
parts of those that's that's the overall
strategy so the last thing is just in
the single-family today in our
neighborhoods you can build a house and
you can build a house with an Adu and if
you so basically even all of our
single-family neighborhoods and you saw
that so much of that housing is
accounting for your students it's two
units can be built
I don't know eighty use and how much
they're producing in terms of hopes I
apologize for the scramble of the
formatting of producing for PBS students
but the proposal that's on the table
that will all be discussing over the
next year is to go back to a
single-family a traditional single
dwelling area where if you get the size
of the building that stays within the
context of the place we care less about
how many units are in it and so what it
does is it allows you to
something that looks like a
single-family house and put three units
in it and what that allows you to do is
to have a single-family kind of
structure if not actual ownership which
is a preferred thing often for
households with children in a smaller
size because typically today are
single-family houses that get built when
you tear down something are four five
thousand square feet in this these are
the 1,800 square feet this is like what
a bungalow is it's a new step back to
that the amount of those that will be
produced is going to be driven by the
market it's not going to be wholesale
change in these neighborhoods but
increasingly we're going to be putting
neighbor putting units back into the
inner neighborhoods especially that can
be family sized
lower cost cos are smaller and it may be
affecting your student body
so can you talk a little bit about the
process for the city in terms of
developing this plan for how we're gonna
encourage growth in the ways we think
that are beneficial for our citizens and
our students well yeah the the you know
there's a set of tools that we have in
our planning and sustainability toolbox
zoning and development entitlements and
where transportation investments go and
where transit investments go that we are
happen in the process over the last few
years of re writing re-engineering to
accommodate this growth strategy that I
just showed you so those kind of basic
regulations are being put in place and
with two big pieces coming this this
winter this fall being should the change
I just talked about for single dwellings
and a change for how we do our
multifamily that just squeezes more that
improves the design of the buildings and
mostly this is relevant out east in
David Douglas and those districts but
improves the design of the building
crews the ability to get family-sized
and more units out of them so that's
once again let's get more units out in
the land that we have and then the
housing Bureau is stepping up to
mobilize to start getting the dollars
that we've all voted on for affordable
housing out the door and spending that
01h 25m 00s
in ways that correspond with this
strategy of tried to get in get a supply
of affordable housing in some of those
neighborhoods that if we don't do
anything are going to see increasing
gentrification pressure so get ahead of
the market there and also continue to
invest in its a higher cost land but to
get units in these high amenity
neighborhoods that are the inner
neighborhoods just because at the end of
the day we want to permanent supply of
affordable housing in as many
neighborhoods as we can get in as many
of your schools as we can get
so those two pieces are the main levers
right now so can can you talk about how
the city and school districts I mean
especially PPS but I mean I'm interested
in how other school districts as well
how do we interact do we interact is
there coordination and planning is there
our school locations being taken into
consideration during decisions about you
know incentivizing development yes and
no I mean it depends on what you really
mean by the question so a certain extent
well we work really well with Portland
Public Schools and like to you see that
our forecasts are sort of at two
different scales but we share
information with PSU that's part of the
the data that they crunch and are very
interested in supporting the the needs
of PPS in these neighborhoods that are
growing the and we have in the
Comprehensive Plan and we should we we
share I believe our forecast of where we
think we're going to be in 225 the 25
years as the plan builds out and you all
get an annual sort of check in on that
anyway that is really valuable for us to
sort of watch to see if these overall
trends are happening the so there's the
dilemma this is the first year that
we've declared in this comprehensive
plan school infrastructure and the
adequacy of schools to be able to
deliver if a structure to be a critical
piece that can be considered
a constraint on the ability to grow so
we did that this time we had we hadn't
done that before so what you come up
with well we came up with the devil's
bargain which is that David Douglas was
the district that was that was not able
to raise funds to be able to meet there
they could have demonstrated deficiency
across the board in classrooms so that
we down zone in david douglas a bit and
in a setting in a situation where the
production of housing and serving that
housing is key towards our overall
ability to moderate the cost of housing
and the ability of lower-income
households and you know like the full
range of households live in the city
creating roadblocks to housing is has a
very definite negative impact on the
cost of housing so that was the dilemma
we were struggling up with out there and
so but because of that have it's almost
a bit of an experiment I guess
selectively done some down zoning in
East Portland units in Northwest
Portland in inner Northeast Portland and
recognizing that our facilities that we
have currently are basically at capacity
is there any conversation around that or
conversation around the sort of mythical
school placeholder at the post office
site or well yeah of course there is we
keep seeing this growing population
growing number of households in the
Central City and we watch it pretty
closely in terms of the birth rates
amongst those households a child
retention you know like are the
households with the children staying
there's
a slow increase but a steady sort of
rise of that and we know that Chapman
and some of the other schools in that
01h 30m 00s
catchment area are certainly already at
capacity so we've wondered and if and
when additional school capacity that
would catch that would serve these
households fits into the overall you
know capital system for the school
system but yes but it's not it's you
know it's it's it moves more slowly but
it's a believe there is this sort of
steady low geographically based rising
heat it isn't there's that's supposed to
be part of the planning process that
when there's housing zoning for housing
and units that there's also you know
property available for you know in-world
capture you know serving those kids that
may or may not move in there I mean III
think of course part 20-plus years ago
and how there was a development out
there
that was planned and number of units and
space reserved for a school to serve
those kids
isn't that what what our land use system
is supposed to well you know the
difference yeah no I understand
director Bailey we're built out city so
the Greenfield notion of identifying a
piece of real estate for school
expansion that's why we're always
putting it could be the post office you
know perspective approaches on the in
these plans but we haven't
that's when we would be working with PBS
to see about the capital programming the
capital planning for PBS and when it
aligns with this expansion
it's just that has not been reached a
trigger point have been the priority for
the last few years we've been working on
this plan yeah
yeah so how do we get there to where
we're well we can anticipate in terms of
our bonding program going forward so
that were not caught behind the 8-ball
that is you know there's a lot this is
the other thing that please don't get
the impression that any of the changes
that we've made
dramatically increase the development
capacity in any of these areas like
there's today a lot more housing that
could be built in any one of these
places or neighborhoods what we've done
is we've tried to improve it in terms of
the quality of design of the building we
tried to add more where we need it
we tried to settle some of the conflicts
because one of the reasons it slows down
housing production is that it the the
shocking is it's disturbing in terms of
how the building's arrived and look on
the street in you end up with land use
appeals and things that slow down the
progress but we have had this
development capacity on the books since
the 80s now the market is finally
showing up to deliver it which is an
interesting sort of moment to be in and
which is a good moment to be in and what
we're finding is that we're not even
though with that capacity not keeping up
with the demand of people who want to
live here and demand people who want to
live here with money that's leading to
the construction of housing
yeah so I think I'm the one person up
here that well on the school board at
least that does it have a really long
history in Portland and the states that
I've come to before I know that like
when developments went in there were
certain costs that developers paid
towards the school systems you know to
help with the impact and I don't see
that happening here so why isn't it that
I mean I guess other questions we're
asking so where the development is going
how do we figure what the capacity will
be in our buildings that some are which
are already maxed out but another state
so that's kind of figured into the
planning with developers that you know
you help pay the cost towards schools
where you need them because of the
families that you're bringing in with
your development so that's a that's a
that's a different yeah yeah that that's
a different question for then is
addressed in these plans as I said we
well it's actually a statewide
prohibition on including schools and
systems development charges right it's
necessary infrastructure we have our
construction excise tax but it'll never
build a school yeah it's nominal so
director yeah that's what I was trying
to say is you I do not know the answer
to that terms of tax policy and the
01h 35m 00s
different ways to pay for these
infrastructure yeah it's terrible yes so
so my um I guess my concern looking
ahead is is the flip side of all of this
it's the it goes to your last slide
where depending on what kind of
development we do we're gonna have
either a whole bunch of kids or we're
gonna have no kids and I live in North
Portland and the development that's
happening in the area where I live
it is not family-friendly
I mean it's um it's studio apartments
one-bedroom apartments very expensive
and across the street from a middle
school is a big complex of micro lofts
which I find both puzzling and
disturbing so I mean I worry about the
flip side I worry about the kind of
development that's that's going on there
may be parts of town where where we're
gonna see declining enrollment in future
years you're gonna have other parts of
town where you know schools are gonna be
busting at the seams and others where
you know we're gonna be trolling the
streets for kids because then they're
not gonna be in buildings I think that's
that's on all our minds I really
appreciate sort of PS use predictions
and the Bureau of planning presentation
it's timely not by accident because
we're about to go into our own process
for making our best predictions about
how to best staff and think about these
enrollment patterns with the permission
of the chair if I could ask Deputy
Superintendent Hertz and maybe with some
backup support talk a little bit about
sort of how this informs our next steps
in how we plan for next school year
because this is sort of our attempt to
sort of bring information so I I did
have one more question for presenters
and for Joe and this this is probably
this is probably a bit of off topic and
maybe over over a beverage discussion so
I was good so yeah so nationally 63
percent or something like that of
households are owner-occupied Portland
is with important public schools it's
already in the low 50s which is probably
believe similar to San Francisco's
school districts Seattle as well if you
look at the inner city school districts
which surprised me
and what we're owning for is increasing
that down to 50% below 50% owner
occupied why are we doing that well I
don't think you can draw that conclusion
that the end a the single dwelling the
duplex three flat four four Plex model I
was talking about there's no reason
those will could not be owner-occupied
there's no reason that even
multi-dwelling multi-unit apartment what
looked like multi-unit apartment
buildings are not owner occupied it's
just as different form of ownership and
it may not be a form of ownership and
it's it's a little bit goes back to the
part of the story of the full range
economic range of households were their
rate where the families are living in a
long term basis in a multi dwelling
building that's new to us in Portland in
terms of a broad phenomenon but it's not
new up and down the rest of the west
coast so I think the cost of housing and
the desire to live in these great
neighborhoods that we have is going to
lead to a change in the format of these
buildings and that's not an overnight
thing and does not just assume that
there'll be a loss of the opportunity to
own where you live and have until they
change the tax codes the wealth creation
potential that that that brings it is an
interesting moment of opportunity like
our own Habitat for Humanity locally is
01h 40m 00s
starting to do multifamily so ownership
for lower income families and all the
positive
benefits that come with home ownership
including less mobility and all that so
you're right I mean as the structure is
changing it's not necessarily just
pricing people how there are some
strategies that are trying to Habitat
for Humanity is building 10 units on
these are multi-family lots and they're
building them attached they're attached
to that buildings now but they're for
sale units because their model as a for
sale unit model we're gonna see more of
that and it's not gonna be as weird and
we're gonna have the infrastructure that
makes it like a typical thing you
finance and that's part of our future
it's not and it's not at the expense of
homeownership rates and it's not at the
expense of single-family news I think
yeah still would I'd be surprised if it
you know those are gonna go 6040 and and
especially compared to all the other and
another question again I can let it go
is how much control does the city have
over the actual type of multi-family
housing that goes in very little ok so
there's really no guarantee that any of
that coming infill is going to be
family-friendly
you know 3-bedroom well you know but in
developing that particular piece of code
we worked closely with the home builders
and so the feedback that and and that's
part of what you just saw in this last
sort of spate of development of
apartment buildings especially the ones
without parking never could happen no
one's ever gonna live there oh we can
build that make money people will live
there and now the home builders and
developers are believers in that they
believe that they could build and sell
all day these 1800 864
that are like duplex 33 flats because
there's so much demand for it and
there's more demand for and the ability
to pay for that kind of housing than
there is necessarily for the 6,000
square-foot single-family house which
could be the alternative in some of
these neighborhoods so it's it's market
driven and they the market that seems to
think it's out there so we just we want
to give it a run to see if we can
incentivize that civilized supply yeah
mark market has done our friend a lot of
times in terms of planning us you know
before you leave I just have a question
about the the city of Portland
PowerPoint is it possible to get sort of
course the city of Portland we're one of
only five districts within the city of
Portland I'm wondering if it's possible
to get a further click down on just the
I mean it's great trend data from the
whole city but we know that PBS is not
necessarily representative of the city
especially the school districts on the
eastern edge so I'm wondering if that's
possible to get it and either further
refinement on the trends in Portland but
in Portland but that same data but just
our district oh I believe it is yes so
let me go back and talk with folks I
know great that should be we should be
able to do that thank you
thank you really fascinating thank you
it's great to have experts in the field
come in to share their knowledge of this
and so what what does this mean to us
well I think we've spoken earlier this
year in the fall and we told you that
we're losing state school fund and it's
because our poverty in our elo students
are going down so extra weightings that
we see for students so that will impact
both general fund as well as our title
funds so our luckily in our title funds
we have some fund balance and the
instructional program staff are being
really deliberate and smart about
stair-stepping that down over time so
there isn't a quick drop in terms of
school so we're they're being very
strategic and making taking that drop
over a more period a longer period of
time rather than all at once and so in
terms of general fund we don't have that
same capacity we have been building our
fund balance as you know and we do have
the new board policy that does also that
we're aspiring to get to that 10% over a
certain amount of time so I don't know
if Shawn if you have other demographic
information you want to share with the
board not particularly I just say that
01h 45m 00s
charles has also provided a 1 year
forecast for us and we're in the process
of working through what the the staffing
impacts will be and and and and then the
same information has also been
incorporated into how we're gonna
project revenue as well then of course
we'll wait for 1st March 15th estimate
from the state which will be well before
we know what's really happening in the
legislature but each step of the way
we'll get closer and closer and refine
our budget as we go
good
sorry this is a preliminary that we got
from Charles I'd say he may make some
revisions by March okay we'll get it
specifically about kindergarten oh sorry
yeah yeah okay can you give us a sense
of how accurate the year-over-year
projections are by school because I I
mean I know historically that the
district-wide enrollment projections
have been pretty much spot-on how does
it compare when you get down to the
school level I it seems pretty close
when I'd say kindergarten is always
brand new kids that's always gonna be
that the most challenging to project and
I would also say that what Charles said
is that he coming tends to use a more
conservative status quo approach so some
things so he didn't really factor in a
whole lot of new kids coming in for for
Franklin and and but maybe we ourselves
need to think about some of those
modifying his forecast track record yet
to go on I mean when was the last time
we bought the high school so yeah
exactly was pretty right on with the
exception really being the West Side
where it was projected to be pretty high
enrollment growth and we wasn't really
to climb but it stayed flat so the that
was really where we saw the differential
but otherwise it's pretty right on yeah
okay thank you very much thank you thank
you thank you which is remarkable at the
school yeah because there's there's
really no way to do that with
and people move okay thank you
[Music]
so the next item is Parks and Recreation
intergovernmental agreements or grants
and Hawking easements good luck studying
there our student representative has to
leave because he has a final time where
we're expecting and we're no word on the
final your finals hi good evening I'm
Sara King Director of Planning and
property management we want to talk to
you about an easement before you an
easement is a is a real estate document
it's not something that normally goes to
the board as you may know easements are
often small pieces of property they're
often something we grant for a
particular purpose say for another
agency or utility often others grant us
easements but this one is before us
because of the size of the easement and
frankly the dollar value of the easement
we haven't done an actual appraisal on
that but we anticipate that it is of a
significant amount significant enough
that we wanted to bring this to you and
talk to you about this for your approval
Grant High School this easement let me
just state but the reason for this
easement is because of some city imposed
requirements on the district regarding
the or in result of the remodel at Grant
High School grant highs close you know
is right next to Grant Park we have a
very close relationship with the parks
Bureau about uses on each other's
property and more than probably any of
our other high schools there's actually
facilities that we have jointly on each
other's property
not a typical in an urban situation but
this is probably the most pronounced so
we've had a driveway I think you're all
01h 50m 00s
aware of the driveway that goes off 36
northeast 36th Street we've had a
driveway there at Grant High School for
many many years and there has been some
of that driveway it has been on city
property we've had a revocable permit
from the city to use that property for
drive for driveway for many years as
part of the remodel we have been
required to put in storm management
facilities next to that driveway make
that driveway wider to meet fire safety
requirements as well as put a turn
around there at the end of the driveway
and as you may know at the end of that
driveway just to the norther that
driveway is Grant pool which is a
facility owned by Parks and Recreation
so in the original driveway that we've
had with the parks Bureau all these
years it's been our driveway we use it
for school but the parks Bureau has used
it in the summer for public access both
for the park and the pool and I think
it's worked well for years in this new
situation because of the requirements
that were imposed on us from the city
we've had to make that driveway wider we
needed additional Park property and so
the way parks and we worked it out is we
have a reciprocal excuse me we have a
shared Drive for both of our uses they
we haven't have granted the parks Bureau
an easement to use our property for
access to the pool in the park they have
granted the same to us on their property
and as you've got in the back of your
report there's an illustration here it
shows you it's roughly the same amount
of property that we're each dedicating
to this what is becoming or what has
been in in practice now in actuality
it's sort of a joint parking facility so
that's the purpose of this this easement
it's pretty it's pretty substantial size
and because of that we wanted to take
this to the board for approval
this is not really your I'm sorry this
is not really your purview it's more
than office of school modernization but
do you know if there was any
conversation around cost-sharing on the
improvements themselves I do not know
for sure but I would imagine just that a
it's our project this is how it's been
in our relationship with parks if it's
our project we're initiating it and
there are certain infrastructure that we
need to put in place to meet those
requirements for that we paid for it
even if they're driving long term basis
yes yes yes and what's interesting about
this is we needed that property to meet
our city imposed requirements so to some
degree I know it's one part of the city
versus another the system we have you
know put parks in the driver's seat
honestly we needed their permission and
they did not offer to pay nor would they
probably have agreed to it even if we
asked them did we ask them
so the answer is we didn't ask them I do
not know if we've asked them
specifically I can I know what the
answer would have been because we've had
these conversations on other things to
ask about the parking I don't know
offhand we have had other conversations
at Grant about other improvements and
they have found the way that that Sarah
just explained if we are the one who is
instigating the improvement and then we
are affected the one who will be paying
for that improvement we we apply for the
improvement and then even if it benefits
them we did ask about maintenance
whether they were willing to share the
maintenance and they said no so right
now we've committed to for 15 years
doing the maintenance now completely one
way you know soccer field they get to
they get to rent it out and keep all
their land we're looking for a paradigm
shift yeah
yes I agree we're not looking for you to
pull one out of your pocket yeah it's a
largely complicated long and complicated
history provided it says that it will
grant PBS non-exclusive access and
parking rights on the portion of the
parking lot bailed on the Grant Park
land exchange for the expanding use of
the land PPR requires PBS to grant the
city the same non-exclusive access on
the portion of the parking lot built on
the PBS property so during the school
day do we have exclusive access to the
parking lot or no I'm trying to
understand what this yeah you don't we
don't although in practicality and it's
01h 55m 00s
been like this actually in practice for
four years don't anticipate to change in
practicality as our staff is using that
parking lot well before the public does
in the morning so to my knowledge and we
have had some discussions with with
people that have been here
longer than I have we have not had any
of those issues now we could have some
issues down the road in the summer if we
chose to have say evening classes
evening classes at Grant High School in
the summer that might conflict with pool
use for example so we might see some
conflicts there if we did an evening
Scholars program right exactly
any other questions we get there were we
meet our requirements imposed by the
city for development developing the new
school essential permits we approve all
the conditional use in the building
permit for Grant High School so so you
brought it up because of the value of
the property yes this is this per se
costing us any money
no nominal money no but no money is
changing hands okay so do both parties
have to agree to it yes so have they
already agreed to this no this will go
well it doesn't have to go it just goes
to the oh it has they agree yes they've
agreed to agree formally agreed to it
knowing it will not it does not need to
go to the City Council okay yeah so so
it is in they will go shows great men
don't have to we the board needs to
approve it but under their rules they
don't that's it doesn't meet their
requirement record so so you're
responding to board policy yes that's
correct
these twelve by five hundred feet
approximately that's about three dozen
parking spots that our staff and others
will probably have use of the majority
of the time yes
yes it's yeah and I actually I can't
remember with all the new requirements I
think it's an increase of parking but I
can't say that for sure
it is a net increase from the standpoint
of legal spaces I do believe I think
there's some parking going on there
that's not in the past so I think total
spaces net it doesn't increase yeah okay
any other questions so this is gonna
come to us probably with the way we
typically do these as we would ask since
since we've discussed this we would send
this over to the parks Bureau the parks
Bureau would sign it and then it would
come to you and I don't know if we can
get that back from the parks Bureau in
time to get it on the agenda for the
29th because I believe documents are due
very soon so the only thing I would ask
justice it's just a standard practice
that we have the resolution we have one
drafted good I'm sorry it'd be great to
see it yes skiing thank you so much for
bringing this forward I really
appreciate this and given that these
have the capacity to limit our use of
the property going forward that frankly
they always make me break out in a rash
and I I appreciate all of the
information you've brought and the map
which is terrific I did just want to ask
about the dogleg at the western end can
you foresee opens I know can you foresee
any circumstances when we would need to
build on that property actually port for
both of you my response would be it is
so close to the parks property line that
I don't see that happening unless we
were to jointly build something with the
parks Bureau that encroached much
more heavily into the parks bureau
property which would make the the issue
academic then isn't that a required fire
lane yes but you could replace I mean if
we we could build over this if we
replaced it thank you yeah access to the
back of grant and was required by code
so I don't get way at a minimum we don't
02h 00m 00s
get exclusive use during the day and
just prevent any kind of issues
downstream it seems like a pretty small
thing to ask and why not just nail that
down I actually think well it may
benefit us to be very flexible if we ask
for exclusive use at certain times as
parts going to ask for exclusive use for
types I think we have more to lose from
exclusive use post or signage than parks
does is that making sense yeah but only
if we view this as a competition and not
a cooperation well and then and that's
that's speaking of the paradigm change I
mean I actually think from a if in
spirit of cooperation that we work
together without signage I I think it's
more workable without signage or without
exclusive use during certain hours quite
honestly our thought going into this is
that we would see how this goes and if
we have a problem then we will talk to
them about it
is that gonna be written into the
agreement it probably would not well I
would have to go back and look at the
actual easement language which I don't
have right in front of me there's two
places it could go it could go in
easement language it could also go in
our collaborative agreement which is an
agreement
we have with the parks Bureau which
we're going to be amending here in the
next year and that is so it could go
either place and we can we can state
something like that will the addition of
lights that the grant bowl potentially
have an impact on that and the reason I
ask is I talked to Commissioner of fish
fishes the other day and this is
something that they're wanting to work
with the school district it on but I
could see there being both increased
usage by the district and this since
there's not enough field time there
anyway but also potentially increase use
by the city and I'm just wondering of
whether we should before we get
ourselves locked in think about how we
would want to if there's additional
usage and therefore more people parking
or additional parking later into the
night how we want to handle that versus
just isn't unknown yeah I think that's a
good it's a good question and I on the
one hand our folks yeah there'll be some
additional evening use by the school
district probably just thinking
conceptually during the week and that's
from what I understand generally
probably not I I don't get the feeling
that this is really parked up in the
evening during the school year at least
by park users it would probably remain
parked for school use I think the bigger
question is in general if we have more
activity in the bowl not just here but
in the whole area how are we going to
accommodate parking and that will be an
important part of the conditional use
permit that will be required for us to
put lights or any other improvements
into Grant Bowl I think when grants when
the park bureau would be using this
parking is during the summer for pool
use don't know if we would be using the
lights at the bowl for school use
as much in the summer that's yet to be
determined and we haven't started to
negotiate that
so I guess another question for you is
this easement needs to be recorded as
part of our before we get a building
permit and grant and we're I don't know
when we're gonna be entering in the
conversation the bigger conversation
around grant bowl so I don't know if
I'll have an answer specifically around
how we're gonna park any improvements in
grande pool in any immediate timeframe
well I think we shouldn't lock ourselves
in for 15 years without contemplating it
I mean I can't imagine the city's not
gonna give us the occupancy permit for
the high school because we are trying to
work something out on that parking it
seems like we could think of something
prospective that takes into account that
there could be increased usage because
it seems like there's increased usage at
night for the neighborhoods I'm sure
they'd much rather have if there's
students driving parking that but they
haven't parking in the parking lot then
out on the neighborhood streets yeah I
02h 05m 00s
think that we're gonna as I said we're
gonna have to well we will have to deal
with those questions because they'll
come up from the community as we discuss
the bowl improvements we'll have to
address it during conditional use permit
and then I I think as we get into
discussions of the bowl and when we use
those improvements and when the parks
Bureau uses those improvements we need
to throw this in that negotiation as
well I mean most of August the fields
are used just because the start of daily
Devils pregnant I said most of August
those any high school field is pretty
much fully utilized pretty much all day
if again in August okay so I think I
think what you're hearing in general is
that board members would like us to be
more assertive in negotiations with the
city then then I think we have tended to
be in the past so on us at the
governance
we're not just saying it and go work
here man
yeah the goal is paradigm shift so okay
so any other questions okay so you'll
come back to us with with a resolution
sometime soon yes okay soon as we can
okay thank you or potentially reflecting
some of the things we discussed tonight
just a question I don't know the answer
I'll try I think we heard a lot of other
considerations that we should try to aim
for I think this is gonna result in some
follow-ups and some that could be
incorporated assuming there's
cooperation then we'll do that
absolutely okay all right thank you
okay okay next step sure more do you
mind if I give a little bit of intro oh
please
so for us newbies are those new to
Portland Public Schools storied history
of a lot of past community engagement
efforts at the encouragement of a lot of
individual board members and
conversations with me and senior staff
around it'll be really invaluable to
gain a deep understanding of a lot of
past initiatives and efforts and how
those played out with the community and
stakeholders and it's important to sort
of understand that so we we went about
commissioning what we've dubbed the
Trombley report the packet this week was
a little heavier than most our cabinet
got a high-level preview which we all
appreciated the hyperlinks and providing
us a map of all these artifacts that
you're gonna hear about but we'd love to
invite Jason Trombley up familiar to I
think everyone who was able to tie in
his unique history and many of these
initiatives so was able to bring that
perspective in as well so the Trombley
report good evening chairman members of
the board and superintendent Ghaderi
I think given the time I'm gonna give
some very brief remarks and then open up
the rest of the time for a board
question and comment because you all got
to report I think late last week both
the full as well as the appendices so
first for me the biggest context after
doing all of this work are three things
I think for me personally one as you'll
see on the cover page of the report is a
quote from a pair
that testified during the deep breath
process in 2015 that was a quote from
and I think that stood through the
entire enrollment balancing process and
I think for me is a signal that through
all of the 18 years of systemic change
that community's time and time again
stood up to both share their
02h 10m 00s
perspectives but also defend what
communities have built during those
changing times and years and so that's
close to being the school that I went to
middle school I thought it was one that
just stood home for me time and time
again second is the timeframe in which I
was directed to take a look at and that
time frame was important for me and two
reasons one 2001 happened to be my
senior year in high school so as a
student so for me this doing this
research was a very humbling exercise to
really get a sense of basically what
occurred after I graduated and number
two but I think what is the most
important part in this if our work both
as as everyone who wears the badge
whether you're elected contractor
employee is to put this work Student
Center and knowing that going into 2019
and that the start of this work started
and looked back to 2001 that if we're
gonna put this Student Center and that
it's important to knowledge that this
whole time period really occurred for
the Graduate becoming graduating class
of 2019 so that is Nick pays lers entire
graduating cohort from birth to now so
what this report really does in full
context is the entire PBS experience of
this graduating class since they were
born so to really think about all of the
change systemic but also imposed by
state and federal mandates it's
important to know intact with even all
that change communities stood up time
and time again and even with the
graduation outcomes that will hopefully
have the bonds we've passed the
investments that communities have given
we stood up and tried to fight back
despite all of the things that were
imposed on this system um so I want to
cover a few highlights for you that I
think are worth noting from the period
of 2000 to 2007 in this district aside
from the Multnomah County no temporary
income tax that's a number of you
advocate
for despite all of that the district
faced 848 plus million dollar shortfall
over seven years at that same time the
district from 2000 to 2007 also
experienced an enrollment decline of
8,000 plus students in seven years
you were also facing the full impact of
No Child Left Behind which targeted a
number of schools based on test scores
were low performing and based on that
outcome in recommendation communities
were faced with an enrollment balancing
process by board resolution to either
talk about enrollment relief options to
figure out long-term solutions
some communities got an effort to
envision future building designs
themselves but in some communities were
also forced to what I call you know
basically forced to the precursor of The
Hunger Games
asked to assess what schools should
close that communities were asked to say
what schools should close and we're
looking at board resolutions that had
identifies which community got what
impact directed from the top damn all of
that occurred before 2007 just going
into that two other things I think
long-term are really important we're
actually a few things heading into that
first school year of 2007 eight over
forty resolutions authorized by the
board from 2005 to 2007 directed that
level of system change
additionally what's also important here
is to note that at that time period
we're also trying to figure out
long-term funding solutions or at least
stopgap measures to try to minimize that
impact and so for me one lesson learned
in this this is the importance of what
was the called the local option levy
that was started in 2001 and looking at
those local option levies from that
eighteen year time period coming into
this school year this city through moma
County of Washington and Clackamas
counties the amount that we actually
received was over six hundred and ninety
million dollars that is greater than the
operating budget for this district this
school year so as community members over
and over despite the change despite the
dysfunction that communities claim that
were imposed from the state in the city
in the county community's invested six
hundred
ninety million dollars to us to try to
minimize that gap in spite of everything
and additionally with your modernization
bonds that has offered an additional 1
billion plus dollars in investment in
our schools so to me that says something
that despite all of the change
everything that has been reported
communities have stepped up to try and
preserve what we want to hope to offer
for all of our kids the report I hope
also acknowledges that even with that
promise communities were impacted
differently you made a promise
but that praten promise was not either
equally or equitably delivered for
example in the case of the Jefferson
cluster over a 10-year period that high
school alone experienced seven different
types of configuration changes sometimes
on an average of one to two years you
made a new change it's no wonder that in
2013 the Jefferson cluster community
rightly pushed us to stop experimenting
on that community and focused us to look
at both system-wide and look at look at
02h 15m 00s
all those changes the racial equity
impact and that was my first real
engagement in the system and I have to
say it over and over again that after
the sack and boundary process I have to
acknowledge what that community did
after all that change they still stood
up and fought back and so for this work
I have to show my appreciation and
gratitude towards them so it's important
to acknowledge that even with all that
change communities wanted to build and I
think with this context now going into
the visioning process that is this is
your prime opportunity to not only reset
what that vision is but it's everyone
who wears the badge that has an
obligation and that obligation is that
you are building a new contract with
families and children for the next
generation and that contract it has to
be one that the system can both deliver
on its promise regardless of who is or
who is not superintendent who is or who
was not in leadership and who was or was
not on the board that has to outlive
everybody because it's clear through
this work superintendent's changed four
times there were multiple board changes
but all of these impacts were compounded
so part of that work in the next stretch
has to be defined what that relationship
is and has to really come to clear grips
as about what you all are willing to
deliver and hold a candle that the
system will deliver for our kids and
part of that is as you're taking on a
lot of responsibilities and priorities
you have to be willing to add
by what it is you're trying to achieve
and what you're gonna deliver and how
that actually shows up for students
because you make you can make at least
from my research you can make a very
large resolution it's long and detailed
and thorough but if students don't
experience what you've defined on paper
and that paper doesn't mean anything so
I think the other thing I'd want to
acknowledge that in all of this work
particularly in the last few processes
that I personally participated in his
chair they were really personal learning
opportunities for me and in particularly
the boundary process itself it showed
that you can bring multiple stakeholders
together even those who have a history
of battling each other you can still
find common ground and move forward so
for example and actually want to
acknowledge some individuals from that
Commission one being Joe Center who
testified before as well as Jane leo and
as well as Matthew Shadbolt from the
housing Bureau who learn about and
Rowland balancing and how housing and
stability you know really plays a role
and to ensure that our children access
the opportunities we say we value for
our children to really build that
regional conversation that language or
and how do you actually align your work
regionally because what you do here in
Portland public impacts David Douglas
Reynolds Gresham etc and vice versa and
so we had started researching different
ways on how to actually deal with that
and I was also appreciative that in his
final year in office Mayor Charlie Hales
and particularly his policy advisor who
really actually wanted to figure out how
do you actually do this on a systems
level I also had the good fortune to
talk with a few superintendents outside
of the state on their lessons learned
particularly Stephen Morley from the
Iowa City Community School District who
used who in concert with his board used
their racial educational equity policy
to convene a regional conversation with
planners and developers to figure out
how to plan for long term because their
growth experience in Iowa City was
negatively impacting their students of
color as well as their immigrant
families both him as well as his their
board members particularly Brian Kirsch
lling will really open about multiple
phone conversations with me about how
they did it and made their documents and
board presentations available and I know
Stephen is always one of the chance to
come
to visit Portland so I hope you'll use
him as a resource it is a smaller
district but they dealt with similar
issues that we did so I'd know he loved
the opportunity to at least have a
conversation from a learning perspective
as well I've learned also that there
were a number of you know companies in
San Francisco for example and in the Bay
Area that recognized that with you know
enrollment growth and their ability to
actually recruit employees that they
were causing issues around housing
affordability so for example Facebook
had committed in 2016 a twenty million
dollar grant for housing assistance the
construction of affordable housing units
to both Palo Alto as
in Menlo Park as well so I think there
are opportunities to engage your
regional partners to figure all of the
real systems to ensure that what you
want for your children you children
actually deliver on it and finally from
a personal I think running the boundary
process was a very difficult one to say
the least
but I think for me it wasn't so much
about how do I help the system do better
it was the fact that I was also serving
as a coach of the Constitution team at
the same time and one of the first
things that came to mind knowing my
lesson learned from running the
enrollment and transfer process in 1415
was had actually ensured to keep my kids
safe my students safe every single day
because I was nervous that parents even
with the changes proposed changes were
likely to protest me on school grounds
that I was nervous because as a person
of color that I was really willing to
02h 20m 00s
make some bold statements that there
would be a negative impact to the
students who signed an agreement and
enrolled in my program so from the top
down I think the first person I really
want to thank is Mayor Charlie Hales his
wife Nancy who offered that if I needed
personal security detail from me or my
students that she would make it
available to me personally looking at
the central office level was starting
off with George whether Roy who told me
that when we're getting into the heat of
community processes said if you need a
badge let me know because he would walk
me through in multiple cases the
different ways to get the Commission
where my committee into room safe in
case there were protesters on-site or in
cases where I was in a number of
community meetings where testimony might
be heated the quickest way to get
students out of the
so that they were safe additionally I
also want to acknowledge the entire
communications department during that
time period who made sure though that
process was transparent but also let me
know if there are any comments directed
towards me or my students so that we
could respond to it very quickly and
expediently
additionally in particular I also wanted
to know John Isaacs and Judy Brennan who
helped build that infrastructure for me
and at a local level I want to thank
print Lincoln principal Payton Chapman
her vice principals then Alfredo
Quintero and Sean Meili who actually
built a school level infrastructure from
these particular that I would check in
with them every Tuesday after school and
that if they and that one administrator
would be on site as well as campus
monitors just in case someone showed up
to protest me when I was teaching as
well as the campus monitors Frank Acosta
stand cables as well as Edwards Sims who
were both campus monitors during the
entire boundary process at school but
also was at my community meetings and
they were on multiple occasions for
security you know at both meetings for
me in particular I didn't really think
that in serving our students
particularly in public capacity that I
would have to do something like that but
personally I guess when you're really
trying to tackle racial equity you have
to ensure that your students are safe
and knowing that going into this for me
that is what I had to do aside from that
one of the things that I learned over
and over is that there were so many
community members that I met over years
who showed up time and time again
regardless of how tough or how
uncomfortable conversations god we
always tried to find ways to move
forward I just wanted to make sure that
you know with the last official time
then I'll have on record about these
processes that those individuals that
I've named deserve the acknowledgment
with regard to ensuring either helping
me learn along the way or ensuring that
my students were safe the entire time so
I just wanted to make sure that that got
stated for the record so with that I
know you all have gotten the
presentation like I said I wanted to
keep it brief to open it up for
questions so for that chair Moore and
the members of the board and I yield to
you for questions
questions
I know it's I mean I gotta say this is
like walking down memory lane most of it
not pleasant memories I have to say so
thank you for documenting all this if
you had to so this is this is what I
affectionately call the process Palooza
z' we've all lived through if you had to
kind of come up with three takeaway
lessons from all of this what would it
be
the first is every process you initiate
has to align with the vision you want
for your system and has to be very
clearly defined in terms of what you're
trying to achieve by it and what I mean
by that is how does this process
actually help achieve the goals you've
defined for your system if you can't
define that then your community can't
understand it and communities don't
won't have a chance to understand how
they can be empowered as builders to
help achieve it too because what I learn
first and foremost is communities have
tried to build things for so long in
this district despite you know all of
the changing environments if you set a
vision and say here's what I think the
system can achieve how can you help us
get there faster to is I think don't
underestimate the power of what students
can do the benefit of the deep rut
Commission in particular is that we had
student reps on it from the very start
and they were very open about what they
really thought I think back to example
max Tuttle who's in the first years and
he said I think one of the summary
statements he'd shared with us was ok
you can change the boundary between
grant and Madison but it's not going to
make a difference because parents are
going to find a way to falsify an
address to get their kids in the grant
and they were a number of his peers and
people who looked right across the
02h 25m 00s
street from him so for me this is why in
one of my recommendations
never underestimate that students
understand the depth of the inequities
that have been created over 20 years
and they understand them much more
nuanced Li and we'll get them a lot
faster than the adults so I think the
first part is really engage them and
empower them to be candid but a path to
say how do you solve it the second part
of it is don't let a process run forever
it has to have a clear start and end
date for a student perspective I would
say when I met with students from open
OHS youth leadership group as well as
students in a leadership class they
wanted to know when the boundary
boundary maps were going to be approved
because they asked fought out if my
sibling is going to be impacted let me
know because I want to help them know
that while this change may be
uncomfortable that you'll still have the
same access to opportunity at that
school as the one that I have so
students who want to help their older
and younger siblings give them the time
to do it and three is don't do a lot of
processes at once and four is if you're
going to do a process and look at bul
change and this was the one of the
fundamental elements in the boundary
process that I think is a response to
2006 only vote for what you know you can
ensure the system delivers money
staffing HR the full gamut that all
should be in place but well before you
vote so you can't have time to
scrutinize the numbers so if you're
going to conduct an enrollment balancing
process this fall ensure you have enough
time to align it with your budget
process to ensure that you ensured
everything is in place otherwise the
values you've said that are important
you have yet again not delivered on a
promise to communities especially based
on this report have shown who've gone
through 18 years of change especially
communities who have had a number of
changes imposed on them even without
having the opportunity to weigh in on it
from the start so I know that's a bit
more than three but that's the best
guidance I can offer in response to your
question
so I'm gonna just offer some context
since while Nick may have been just born
at the time of this report I was
actually on the board and you know
reading through the first part of it I
it was a time when when I got on the
board we had an ending fund balance of
two hundred thousand dollars not
whatever's five to six percent so two
hundred thousand dollars and then we
went in to immediately went into a
recession where we had five special
sessions of legislature and we also the
other piece of context I think that's
important to note is the the baby boom
had moved through PBS where we had when
I went was in PBS there were 70,000
students and fourteen high schools that
were all fairly good-sized and except
for the one I went to which is later
closed good-sized and by the time I got
on the board we were at less than down
in the mid 40s and so you had to
infrastructure in a footprint that had
handled 70,000 students that now had 45
and we had some elementary schools that
had 100 to 200 students in them mm-hmm
and it was just there was no way we
could sustain you had some schools that
have a half-pint principal because we
couldn't justify a full-time staff
person just given the just the the
reduction and the budget we had so there
was a lot of really hard and I I
actually I wouldn't describe it at all
as the hunger games it was the worst
possible thing to have to go through as
a board member I mean I think way worse
than boundary changes because you were
closing something that was really it
close to people yeah
no it was it was worse than boundary
changes but I wouldn't describe it at
all as The Hunger Games it was a very
thoughtful process but it ya know nobody
wants their school to close I went to
high school in my senior year that was
consolidated with another high school
and some of the schools I think there
was a you know a thoughtful process that
we went through to close though to close
the schools there were in in the middle
of the baby boom a whole bunch of
schools that were built there were
called overflow schools there were
essentially one hallways with just
classrooms on either side and a
multi-purpose room and those are the
ones that were closed the first because
they had the lowest number of students
and we weren't actually able to provide
a very enriched program I think you
actually missed two of the schools we
closed just this worth I think it was
02h 30m 00s
young son and young son went into
Bridger and then Wilcox went to Vestal
yep but I think it's important to
understand the the process by which we
went through it and I do think it was a
thought it was certainly hard but it was
the thoughtful process I think the other
thing is looking through this and
thinking about change that's important
context for PBS and I think it was a
little bit of how we don't necessarily
control external forces is it was the
time right in the middle of No Child
Left Behind and Marshall of Roosevelt's
Jefferson were going through the sort of
the years of escalating consequences so
first there's their students got the
right to transfer so they any school
that had openings and of course Benson
was all completely open enrollment so
they could all go there so not only did
they have the right to transfer out of
those three schools but then they also
the district was required to provide
them with transportation based on No
Child Left Behind
and then as you got into the escalating
years of No Child Left Behind the threat
of what we called the nuclear option was
a reconstitution of course Jefferson had
already had that in the late 90s so one
of the sort of reconfigurations was
essentially to make them into smaller
schools that's when those three schools
went to smaller schools because
essentially it got them a new school
number which meant the class started
over again which really avoided I think
the options were reconstitution a state
takeover or a charter school or
reconfiguration which was one of the
reasons the whole k-8 thing came out is
because a number of those schools the
clock was ticking that's certainly why
Kellogg was closed they just pulled the
plug on Kellogg it had because of
transfers out had a pretty low
enrollment and they just said yeah it's
unfortunately no chocolate behind his
gun or the bad parts of it but part of
that was a real desire of the school
community not to have their school taken
over by the state or reconstituted which
had happened at both Jefferson and
Humboldt and had been very disrupted the
school community so I think there's some
lessons to be learned from all of that
we fortunately we don't have 200,000 in
our ending fund balance anymore well we
have way to have more than 200,000 but
there wasn't any latitude so I think as
we look at sort of how we move ahead I
do think there's some important lessons
to be learned and also some
understanding of what some things that
we don't control right and how we work
through that in a way that still keeps
us focused on our students
Sherman I may offer one additional
comment in addition to a lesson learned
at least from my observation is I think
to your comment and director Bailey's
comment but taking about like it's like
you're reliving and not so comfortable
history I think the part of it is the
community communities and parents have
lived lived through all of this and I
think a lot of these processes that a
person will still live very deeply as I
think especially with all of you who
haven't gone through I think different
parts of it and personal ways whether
it's on the board or as parents and I
think part of this and this is for me
just a guess with this visioning process
you have an opportunity to really set
like what the new kind of expectation
contract is but I think part of that is
also embedded in the system being able
to fully acknowledge what has happened
but also I think from a personal
perspective giving community or allowing
communities the chance to say that
happened do I am I personally willing to
give the permission to try to trust the
system again given the whole history and
knowing how complex and uncomfortable
and tough a lot of those process at
least from my limited scope
I think everyone who's lived through it
or has learned through it I think
especially all of you have a chance to
model how do you push forward into that
next chapter for Portland Public because
you won't live through this history
yourselves in different forms that if I
think you all especially can model how
do we do that that might especially show
communities who live through in
different forms if this board is willing
to try to do that as a community member
I'd like to give them try that too so
part of that as you're going through the
visioning process and doing your
learning journeys and learning from what
communities are valuing keep that in the
back yard thinking okay
02h 35m 00s
am I really really willing as a board
member willing to say here's the new
standard here's that new contract of
expectations for everyone who wears the
badge to ensure that our students access
the opportunities communities have
through this process that they value and
if you can do that I think that really
resets the road meant for how we
forward so a couple of takeaways I took
from this so combining the two present
two big presentations we had tonight
went on enrollment and population trends
and the other this your report quite a
bit of which revolves around enrollment
not exclusively but a lot of it I think
might take away among other things is I
mean we've got we've got this long-term
trends on enrollment where we get you
know we started off way up here and then
we plummeted and as soon as we started
to react to the decline in enrollment we
actually were already on the upswing and
some of the actions we took at that low
point or what we thought was a low point
actually we didn't think it was the low
point we thought it was a point on a
continuing process of decline some of
the actions we took were short-sighted I
mean there there was some there were
some operational issues that we had to
deal with but but I think some of the
responses didn't didn't leave us enough
flexibility to deal with the changing
future so just as a for instance you
know a 30-year lease on Kenton at the
time it made sense but you know four
years later oh my god
Annelise yeah yeah I mean it's so so
we've made based on you know a short
analysis of what turned out to be a
short-term trend we made very long-term
decisions that we have come to regret I
deeply regret the the sale of Washington
High School I deeply regret that and and
there were some other some other choices
that we made so I I mean for me as a
board member I think I keep trying to
remind myself whatever we're trying to
do today we have to keep in mind 20
years down the road minimum five years
down the road and and these these
enrollment projections you know we could
go up we could go down and we need to
have enough flexibility to respond to
whatever happens because I don't think
we have any idea what's going to happen
in terms of enrollment five ten years
from now you know we could be busting at
the seams everywhere we could be you
know searching for property to open a
new school or we could be looking at
schools that you know where the children
so whatever we end up doing that's sort
of my takeaway from a lot of this
I don't have any questions if I could
but I just want to say as a newbie that
I don't have this history it's just
really amazing to have a place to go
back to you and understand the context
of how did we get here you know what are
things they I've heard in the community
and just the amount of work that went
into it so I just want to thank you and
thank you for having the foresight get
commissioned it is a really helpful it's
really great I think I can say with his
few months here in residency we we had a
whole nother group of people here for a
year I'm not so sure their part was as
informative as what I have for
nightstand reading now thank you thank
you very much Jason I really appreciate
02h 40m 00s
this I would have one comment before the
board as a whole one of the things that
leaps out of this to me at least is that
the board really has to be aggressively
asking questions about issues
particularly issues that come up around
austerity when when we are short of
funds are we going to be making
decisions that actually free up funds
and from my personal experience the
district hold closed Humboldt school
because it was short of money and it
seemed to be accepted just as a matter
of faith that closing a school would
save money the most that Portland public
has ever saved in a year from closing
Humboldt is sixty thousand dollars and
in order to reconfigure the Boise
Elliott building so that you could get
the Humboldt students into it the
district had to invest $600,000 that
summer
and of course that's less than 10 years
later and we've again reconfigured Boise
Eliot because we've opened Harriet
Tubman we as a board have to be
understanding what we're voting on and
we have to be aggressively questioning
received wisdom and I think that your
report really helps to make that case so
I am grateful thank you yeah there were
a number of these processes where at
times district staff did not act with
integrity I was on a district-wide
committee that looked at gee do we have
too many schools how much are we gonna
save by closing a school and district
staff came up with an estimate well the
principal there's trade-offs around
trades the trade-offs around
transportation cost you still have to
maintain a building if you're not in it
well I guess you don't Killick but that
it wasn't much over a hundred thousand
dollars and three years later when we're
in a school closing process millions
were going to be saved and the existing
schools were going to have so much more
in extras you know arts and PE and
teacher planning time were promised
which never I mean that's just one
example I think and the backroom deal
all around the Rose City Park triangle
they're all just too many of those cases
where
and public trust was violated so I'm
gonna just offer like one last
observation this goes back from being a
student mpps all the way through a lot
of the decisions that were made at least
while I was on the board beforehand and
as I said I went to Glencoe and then I
went to Washington High School and it
was a school of declining enrollment
that had about 800 students at the time
somewhat similar to Roosevelt now and
then they merged it with another
declining roll enrollment school which
was Monroe which was at the time girls
Polytech which was the the pair to
Benson Polytech and ultimately closed it
and then they closed Adam which was
Adams which was another low enrollment
school but if I look at sort of the
pattern across the district one
commonality with many of those schools
is they were low-performing schools
often serving historically underserved
students and the district
it you couldn't change the boundaries so
they you know the attempt to increase
boundaries to increase enrollment that
did not move the dial because people
still had choice within the system some
families or a lot of families still had
that and so you know I think it's really
gonna be important for us to look deeper
because we can move the boundaries but
if we don't change the quality of what's
happening in the schools
I don't I don't think you're going we're
going to get the outcome we want or the
vision that you can't just change the
boundaries and therefore we're gonna
have larger larger schools and I think
02h 45m 00s
this is why I continue to be concerned
that we have these under enrolled K
eights because they're just it's very
hard to reverse reverse those trends and
you can't we could redraw the boundaries
and think that we're actually looking at
a piece of paper that we've increased
then potentially increase the numbers
and therefore going to increase the the
quality of the program but that's
ultimately I don't think what's gonna
change things that's gonna be what's
happening in the classroom that's going
to drive families and just to stay in a
school and keep them there and so I
think it's it's tempting to try and look
at boundaries changes as the biggest
lever we have which I think the biggest
lever we have is school quality and I
hope we keep that in mind and not sort
of look at the boundary changes the Holy
Grail because it's one lever but not the
most important one well I'm very happy
to hear that I think that's the
philosophy with which our team operates
it is about offering the highest quality
educational program we can for our kids
there is of course an economy of scale
that comes with school enrollment but we
shouldn't confuse size with quality of
programming
so the challenge for us is how do we
kind of work all these lovers in tandem
to get it to get it making sure every
school that one of our students walks
into is going to be guaranteed a certain
level of offering but it does bring us
back to our metrics and whether we have
metrics that tell a story of equality
school and this back anok's have never
done that in fact they've you know Julia
you said you know low performing
low-income schools low-income certainly
low quality we don't know that we don't
we don't have a measure of that but
that's the reputation you get if you
just look at test scores and that that
drives reputation that drives biases it
well that's a good preview to next
week's work session when we have a very
school focused agenda and you're gonna
get to hear from our school supervisors
about some of the work they've been
supporting our leaders and communities
with and the way they think about what
some of the conditions that need to be
in place and how those are important to
defining a high quality school so stay
tuned for that conversation next week
like I always said yeah thank you I
really you just great volleyball you
know it's not new news but but it really
I think this report really highlights
the importance of fidelity and
implementation my good good analysis
good planning making sure that you have
the resources to you know whatever it is
you say you're gonna do you've got to
make sure that the resources are there
upfront and and you've you've got to
have we've got to have reliable data and
be able to use it and I mean I was Mike
and I were part of the southeast
facilitated conversation and all kinds
of promises were made who you know and
we did
it's quite the committee mostly because
we said no because what we discovered
was that
the data that were being used to make
decisions were remarkably squishy and
I'm being little kind so I I think it I
think it just reinforces the notion that
we we really need to and and we're doing
it so I mean it's it just sort of
reminds me that it's you know it's about
analysis and data and and in a plan and
then fidelity to the plan and in
thinking ahead all the time the other
02h 50m 00s
thing I sort of feel compelled to note
Julia mentioned is but I'm gonna sort of
put a fine point on it the instability
of state school funding will kill us all
and we have no more stability in state
funding now than we did in 2001
and we are one recession away from more
catastrophe which is why we we
collectively desperately need major tax
revenue reform we need to have some
stability in funding levels so that so
that we can avoid the you know the
period the kind of volatility that we've
experienced but even year to year when
when we have when we don't have you know
big recession we still don't have
predictability for one year to the next
we still don't have the ability to to do
any
any planning on anything more that you
know for lucky it's a biennium and some
sometimes not even that too you know if
we're gonna if we're gonna really turn
this district around we need to be able
to make investments and know that
they're gonna that we're gonna be able
to sustain them over some reasonable
period of time so that we can see some
impact you know have you know create
programs and then let them die two years
later it is fate making us all crazy
and B it is not serving students it is
not a good use of taxpayer funds it is a
stupid way to do business
so vote early vote off and we need tax
reform
any other comments thank you Jason
okay thank you this was okay
thank you so I guess the last order of
business is public comment do we have
any we do not okay so anything else for
the good of the order okay we are
Sources
- PPS Board of Education, Archive 2018-2019, https://www.pps.net/Page/14001 (accessed: 2022-03-24T00:57:50.174924Z)
- PPS Communications, "Board of Education" (YouTube playlist), https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL8CC942A46270A16E (accessed: 2023-10-10T04:10:04.879786Z)